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      • freagle@lemmygrad.mlEnglish
        0·
        2 days ago

        I think they would be willing to call the military’s bluff. If the US went hot against Japan, it would be such a huge mistake.

          • freagle@lemmygrad.mlEnglish
            0·
            2 days ago

            I mean openly-sunsetting-the-empire huge, they would drive so much reactionary movement in SE Asian, Africa, South America and even Europe. They would destroy hugely important production that the rest of the world relies on. And they would open themselves up to being humiliated in the Pacific when Russia, DPRK, and China eventually activate. It would like be the move that would result in the DPRK invading SK. I mean just all hell would break loose

            • ☆ Yσɠƚԋσʂ ☆@lemmygrad.mlOP
              0·
              2 days ago

              I mean it would be the dumbest move by far, but at this point I’m not gonna rule out any insanity. More seriously though, I don’t think the US would have to do any sort of military action. It would be more about of coercing the subservient political class in Japan. The US still has a lot of leverage, and Japanese see themselves as being reliant on the US for protection. So, in practice it would be the threat of pulling protection that would get them in line.

              • freagle@lemmygrad.mlEnglish
                0·
                2 days ago

                I don’t think Japan is genuinely worried about invasion from anyone. No one except the US is crazy enough and I think they know it. Further, the implied threat of pulling protection only needs to be done once for all the anti-imperialists to not invade and suddenly the protection racket falls apart. I think Japan knows that, too. While I think Japanese politics is factional much like the US bourgeoisie, I think that the factions are smartly playing up their schism to convince the USA they still believe them while delicately engaging in rapprochement with China, making it look factional, but actually being strategically ambiguous.

                Remember Japan has a history of adopting whatever system they believe is the best in the world and China is proving that it is. It will only be a matter of exposing the US as the paper tiger it is for Japan to align with China openly.

                • ☆ Yσɠƚԋσʂ ☆@lemmygrad.mlOP
                  0·
                  2 days ago

                  I think we’ll see how this plays out soon. I completely understand where you’re coming from, and I also agree that it would not be rational for US to openly threaten Japan, nor is it rational for Japan to give in to the threats. At the same time, the whole trade war Trump is running is deeply irrational, and so was the proxy war with Russia. The US has already done irreversible damage to its geopolitical position, and as it continue to unravel I fully expect that we’ll see increasingly unhinged flailing from the empire.

                  I expect that this year is going to be absolutely wild.

  • 小莱卡@lemmygrad.mlEnglish
    0·
    2 days ago

    lol who are they trying to trick, they absolutely will concede to the US, they have US military bases in Japan ffs 😂