• dumbass@leminal.space
    link
    fedilink
    English
    arrow-up
    2
    ·
    edit-2
    12 days ago

    It’s 1:4 but everytime the card is played a new set of 1:4 starts, so fuck knows what the actual odds are.

    • brsrklf@jlai.lu
      link
      fedilink
      English
      arrow-up
      14
      ·
      12 days ago

      Humans are probability, and that’s mostly why they gamble too.

      Every wheel draw is supposed to be independent (it’s not totally so because computer “random” is really a pseudo-random algorithm, but close enough). So every time you draw, the odds are 1:4. Previous draws don’t matter.

      On an infinitely large number of draws, you’d see a 1/4 success rate. This doesn’t mean you can’t fail a dozen times in a row (the probability of that is (3/4)^12, about 3%… It happens).

    • null@slrpnk.net
      link
      fedilink
      English
      arrow-up
      3
      arrow-down
      1
      ·
      11 days ago

      It’s 1:4 but everytime the card is played a new set of 1:4 starts

      Of course it does, or the odds wouldn’t be 1 in 4…

      If you flip a coin, you “start” a new set of 1 in 2 odds too – that’s what makes it always 50/50