• halcyoncmdr@lemmy.world
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    2 months ago

    Chernobyl also had known design defects the Soviets chose to ignore because they couldn’t admit their precious atomic program was even capable of having a flaw.

    And even with those defects, it required a very specific and normally unlikely sequence of events and multiple warnings being ignored before the core melted down.

    • EisFrei@lemmy.world
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      2 months ago

      The are about 450 nuclear power plants in operation. The number of plants built did not come up in my searches, but let’s say it was double that.

      There were three full and two partial meltdowns in nuclear power plants.

      That leaves us with a 0.5% chance of a meltdown per reactor.

      I know the calculation is extremely simplified, but the risk is still too high for me.

      • halcyoncmdr@lemmy.world
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        2 months ago

        Don’t forget the more than 200 nuclear powered ships currently puttering their way around the world, both above and below the surface. Not to mention the numerous research and testing reactors that don’t product grid energy.

        And that doesn’t even get into things like RTGs used on spacecraft and in extremely remote regions where traditional fuels would be nearly impossible to transport reliably. Not technically a reactor in the traditional sense of what people think of as a reactor there, but nuclear energy all the same. The USSR built more than 1,500 of those alone while they were around.

        And even ignoring all of those, alternative reactor designs like Thorium molten salt reactors can’t meltdown if cooling systems fail, because the fuel used doesn’t generate heat requiring constant cooling like that.

        The only reason most designs we have in use now are uranium based is because that can be used to create weapons, so that’s where the research went… alternatives like Thorium can’t, despite the fuel being much more abundant.

      • catloaf@lemm.ee
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        2 months ago

        That’s not how statistics work. Meltdowns are not random events.