As Israel escalates strikes on Iranian targets, Tehran is weighing a dramatic response: withdrawing from the nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty and possibly closing the Strait of Hormuz -- moves that could further destabilize the region and disrupt global oil flows.
  • remon@ani.socialEnglish
    197·
    1 day ago

    close the Strait of Hormuz

    Do they want to lose half their navy in a day, again?

    • NoneOfUrBusiness@fedia.io
      18·
      1 day ago

      Again? Also Yemen carried out something resembling blockade without even having a navy, so I wouldn’t bet on force working if they were to go through with this.

        • P00ptart@lemmy.worldEnglish
          186·
          1 day ago

          That’s a totally different situation from a totally different time. Just dropping a wikipedia link on a singular, mostly unrelated action isn’t a mic drop, especially when done multiple times.

          • BombOmOm@lemmy.worldEnglish
            53·
            1 day ago

            That’s a totally different situation from a totally different time…a singular, mostly unrelated action

            Both situations are about Iran closing the Straight of Hormuz and the US response to such. It’s hard to draw up a more similar event. Second up would be the ongoing operations against the Houthis who are attempting to close a different straight.

            • P00ptart@lemmy.worldEnglish
              124·
              1 day ago

              37 years is a LONG time when it comes to technology, especially military technology. Think about how much has changed in society since then. Hell, the vast majority of people in the military 37 years ago have long since gotten out. Just because “the us and Iran are doing a thing again” does not mean we’d even attempt the same thing. The geopolitical landscape that existed in 88 isn’t the same either. US is on the way down as chinas going up. And you more or less copypasta the same thing that every person whos ever been on reddit has seen. Come on, at least put a write up, or some opinion on it. Or just describe the thing that happened. So many of us know this copypasta, that if someone were to ask for a source, it should be an immediate ban. Stop the copypasta.

          • remon@ani.socialEnglish
            414·
            1 day ago

            Providing someone with a link to a reference they didn’t get is a “mic drop” in your head? Ok buddy.

            • P00ptart@lemmy.worldEnglish
              43·
              1 day ago

              Yeah, in your head. Because it’s rather insulting to assume people don’t get the joke, when it’s been a joke for a VERY long time and you were probably delivered that same wikilink 40-50 times by now. Yes, helpfulness can be insulting, sorry if that was what you were going for.

              • remon@ani.socialEnglish
                23·
                1 day ago

                When I replied to the comment with the link it just read:

                Again?

                The rest was edited after that.

    • tal@lemmy.todayEnglish
      72·
      1 day ago

      The article says that it’s most-likely just rhetoric from Iran.

      Strait Of Hormuz: High Stakes, Low Odds

      Hard-line media and several officials have again raised the possibility of closing the Strait of Hormuz – a move that would threaten nearly a fifth of the world’s oil supply. But Gregory Brew, a senior Iran and oil analyst at the New York-based Eurasia Group, says it’s a threat Tehran is unlikely to carry out.

      “Closing the strait is Iran’s last big card to play,” Brew told RFE/RL. “It has the means of essentially blockading the waterway…by deploying short-range ballistic missiles, naval vessels, and mines.”

      But attempting to blockade the strategic strait would have major ramifications, such as “immediately” triggering a response from the United States and the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC).

      “If war with Israel is proving very damaging, war with the US (and the GCC) would be much worse,” Brew said.

      • Saleh@feddit.orgEnglish
        4·
        1 day ago

        It is the dead-mans trigger. As Israel reaffirms it wants to force regime change and commit more atrocities against Iran’s civilians, that threat becomes more realistic.

        The GCC countries are certainly not going to be able to shift any balances around. What are they going to do? A ground invasion of Iran? Best they can do is help Israel bomb Civilians. And we saw how Saudi and UAE bombing Civilians in Yemen non-stop did fuck all except kill a lot of people.

        The response would have to come from the US and other NATO countries, pulling their focus from Ukraine and containing China. Then it will be bye bye Ukraine and bye bye Taiwan and Israel will get what it wants, being the center of Western attention for all eternity.